Sporting CP vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
VAR
1 - 1
SCP
22%
21%
56%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1963 |
APO
0 - 2
SCP
37%
23%
41%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
SCP
5 - 1
LEX
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
SCP
16 - 1
APO
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
FAB
4 - 0
SCP
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1963 |
VST
2 - 1
VIT
45%
24%
31%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1963 |
BEL
3 - 0
VST
77%
14%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
VST
2 - 1
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
FCB
0 - 3
VST
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
VST
4 - 0
ACA
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |