Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Sporting CP vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
3.55
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
3.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
VST
1 - 1
SCP
21%
21%
59%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
TOR
0 - 1
SCP
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
SCP
1 - 1
TOR
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
SCP
3 - 0
CAL
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
FCB
0 - 1
SCP
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
VST
1 - 1
SCP
21%
21%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
VST
1 - 0
FAB
71%
16%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1958 |
FAB
2 - 2
VST
56%
20%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1958 |
SPB
4 - 1
VST
62%
19%
19%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 1958 |
VST
3 - 1
SAL
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |