Sporting CP vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.9%
Win probability
3.91
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
5.6%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
8.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.3%
5.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
OLH
2 - 4
SCP
25%
20%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
EST
0 - 4
SCP
33%
20%
47%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
SCP
3 - 1
LUS
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 1
SCP
53%
19%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 1949 |
SCP
3 - 1
TOR
59%
18%
23%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
VST
5 - 5
EST
31%
22%
47%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 2
VST
38%
24%
39%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
VST
2 - 1
VIT
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1949 |
VST
0 - 5
SLB
21%
19%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1949 |
VST
1 - 0
FCP
35%
22%
44%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | +1 |