Sporting CP vs Vitória Setúbal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92%
Win probability
4.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.1%
10-1
0.5%
+9
1.6%
8-0
2.1%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.3%
7-0
3.6%
8-1
1.9%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
0.1%
+7
6%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
3.3%
8-2
0.8%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
9.7%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
4.9%
7-2
1.5%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
6.3%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.3%
4.7%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
4.7%
2.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
SCP
5 - 3
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
SCP
3 - 2
EST
92%
5%
3%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
BEL
2 - 4
SCP
37%
21%
42%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
SCP
5 - 2
VIT
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
SAL
1 - 6
SCP
6%
11%
83%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
VST
1 - 2
FCP
27%
19%
54%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
VST
4 - 2
VIT
68%
16%
16%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
VST
3 - 8
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
OLH
3 - 3
VST
71%
15%
14%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 2
VST
67%
16%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |