Sporting CP vs Vitória Setúbal analysis


79	ELO	75
-1.6%	Tilt	-0.9%
75º	General ELO ranking	4150º
3º	Country ELO ranking	62º
ELO win probability

62.4%

Sporting CP

17.8%

Draw

19.8%

Vitória Setúbal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

62.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%

17.8%

Draw

0-0

1.8%

1-1

6.6%

2-2

6.2%

3-3

2.6%

4-4

0.6%

5-5

0.1%

0

17.8%

19.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%