Sporting CP vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
EST
1 - 0
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
SCP
3 - 0
ATL
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
BMA
2 - 1
SCP
12%
24%
64%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1976 |
SCP
3 - 0
LEX
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
SCP
0 - 1
BOA
74%
16%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 0
FAB
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
SPB
0 - 0
VIT
30%
29%
42%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
VIT
3 - 0
FAR
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 1976 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
ACA
1 - 2
VIT
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |