Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Sporting CP vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
10%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10%
5.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1960 |
ATL
1 - 1
SCP
26%
23%
51%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
FAR
4 - 3
SCP
34%
23%
44%
|
87 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1960 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPC
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
SLB
4 - 3
SCP
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
SCP
5 - 0
BOA
84%
10%
6%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1960 |
VIT
1 - 3
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1960 |
SPB
5 - 0
VIT
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
FAB
1 - 1
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
VIT
0 - 1
VST
70%
17%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
ATL
3 - 3
VIT
56%
22%
22%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |