Sporting CP vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
4.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.2%
+9
1%
8-0
1.7%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.3%
7-0
3.2%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.3%
5-0
7.7%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11%
5.5%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
SPC
0 - 0
SCP
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 1
EST
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
ATL
0 - 3
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
SCP
7 - 0
LGC
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
FCB
2 - 1
SCP
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1953 |
VIT
0 - 0
VST
55%
21%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1953 |
BOA
1 - 3
VIT
69%
17%
14%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1953 |
VIT
6 - 1
ACA
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Mar. 1953 |
VIT
2 - 0
SPC
52%
22%
25%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
EST
2 - 2
VIT
68%
18%
14%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |