Sporting CP vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.1%
Win probability
4.7
Expected goals
10-0
0.5%
+10
0.5%
9-0
1.1%
10-1
0.5%
+9
1.6%
8-0
2.2%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.4%
7-0
3.7%
8-1
2%
9-2
0.5%
10-3
0.1%
+7
6.2%
6-0
5.5%
7-1
3.3%
8-2
0.9%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
9.9%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
5%
7-2
1.5%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.8%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
6.4%
6-2
2.2%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
9.1%
4.6%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
4.6%
2.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
1.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
SAL
1 - 6
SCP
6%
11%
83%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 0
OLH
92%
5%
3%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
SCP
0 - 2
SLB
70%
15%
15%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 1
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
VST
4 - 1
SCP
13%
17%
71%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 1
BEL
17%
18%
66%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
FCP
10 - 0
VIT
88%
7%
5%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
VIT
4 - 1
ACA
57%
19%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
VIT
2 - 1
EST
33%
21%
45%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
SAL
3 - 2
VIT
56%
19%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |