Sporting CP vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.4%
Win probability
4.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.3%
10-1
0.6%
+9
1.9%
8-0
2.4%
9-1
1.2%
10-2
0.3%
+8
3.9%
7-0
3.9%
8-1
2.2%
9-2
0.6%
10-3
0.1%
+7
6.8%
6-0
5.7%
7-1
3.6%
8-2
1%
9-3
0.2%
10-4
<0%
+6
10.5%
5-0
7%
6-1
5.2%
7-2
1.7%
8-3
0.3%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.2%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
6.4%
6-2
2.4%
7-3
0.5%
8-4
0.1%
+4
16.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
1.5%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.5%
4.2%
Draw
0-0
0.3%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
4.2%
2.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
1.6%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 4
SCP
48%
20%
32%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
82%
11%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 2
ATL
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
SCP
10 - 0
SAL
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
OLH
1 - 2
SCP
16%
17%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SAL
2 - 2
VIT
64%
17%
19%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
3 - 2
VIT
69%
15%
16%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
VST
5 - 3
VIT
53%
21%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 1943 |
BEL
4 - 1
VIT
86%
8%
6%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1943 |
SLB
5 - 1
VIT
90%
6%
4%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |