Sporting CP vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
SCP
2 - 0
EST
79%
15%
7%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 3
SCP
13%
20%
67%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCP
23%
28%
49%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1979 |
BOA
1 - 0
SCP
27%
27%
46%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Jun. 1979 |
BOA
1 - 1
SCP
27%
27%
47%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
BEL
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
VAR
4 - 2
UDL
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 0
SCP
19%
27%
55%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
BOA
0 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
VST
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |