Sporting CP vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCP
27%
25%
48%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 4
SCP
8%
16%
76%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
RIO
2 - 4
SCP
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1977 |
SCP
5 - 0
FEI
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 2
RIO
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1977 |
FEI
2 - 0
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 4
FCP
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1977 |
EST
0 - 1
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 2
VST
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |