Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 5-4
Sporting CP vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
ATL
0 - 1
SCP
17%
24%
59%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SCP
5 - 0
VAR
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
BEL
4 - 0
SCP
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
SCP
0 - 1
VST
62%
22%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
PON
2 - 0
VCF
36%
30%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1968 |
VCF
2 - 3
ATM
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1968 |
ATM
1 - 0
VCF
68%
19%
13%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1968 |
VCF
2 - 0
ESP
81%
12%
7%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
ESP
1 - 0
VCF
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |