Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 2-4
Sporting CP vs Udinese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2005 |
SCP
2 - 4
NAC
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2005 |
CSK
3 - 1
SCP
37%
23%
40%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
43%
25%
33%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2005 |
SCP
1 - 0
VIT
71%
18%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
SCP
37%
25%
38%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
UDI
1 - 1
ACM
29%
28%
44%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 1
UDI
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2005 |
UDI
1 - 2
ROM
50%
25%
25%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
UDI
1 - 1
SAM
62%
22%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2005 |
ROM
1 - 1
UDI
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |