Sporting CP vs UD Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.7%
Win probability
4.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.6%
+10
0.6%
9-0
1.3%
10-1
0.4%
+9
1.7%
8-0
2.5%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.1%
+8
3.5%
7-0
4.4%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.4%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
3%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.3%
5-0
8.8%
6-1
4.5%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.4%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.6%
3.9%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
3.9%
1.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.3%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
BOA
1 - 0
SCP
7%
12%
81%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1945 |
SCP
1 - 0
OLH
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1945 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
66%
16%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1945 |
SLB
2 - 3
SCP
61%
17%
22%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
UD Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1945 |
OLI
0 - 1
SLE
24%
21%
55%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1945 |
OLH
8 - 1
OLI
87%
8%
5%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1945 |
OLI
1 - 4
SCP
16%
17%
67%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1945 |
SCP
8 - 1
OLI
90%
7%
3%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
LUS
3 - 2
OLI
18%
20%
61%
|
57 | 7 | 50 | 0 |