Champions League Last 16
Global 2-6
Sporting CP vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAB
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
SCP
4 - 0
TOR
89%
7%
4%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
LGC
3 - 3
SCP
28%
24%
49%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 1
VVD
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
SCP
2 - 0
VST
78%
13%
10%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
STR
1 - 7
SDL
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
SDL
2 - 0
BER
81%
12%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
LIE
1 - 1
SDL
52%
23%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
SDL
4 - 1
BER
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
LIE
2 - 2
SDL
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |