Sporting CP vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
3º
1º
6
9º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
59% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
20.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
11% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 93% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 4
FCP
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
ATH
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 1
SEV
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 2
UNI
50%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
41%
24%
35%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SWA
3 - 0
RIO
4%
11%
85%
|
77 | 11 | 66 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
SAN
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 1
RIO
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 2
ARO
43%
25%
32%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |