Sporting CP vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 3
PAÇ
75%
17%
9%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPB
56%
24%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2011 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAV
76%
17%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2010 |
VST
0 - 3
SCP
17%
24%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2010 |
LSO
1 - 0
SCP
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
PEN
2 - 2
GFC
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
PEN
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
FEI
2 - 1
PEN
48%
26%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAN
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |