Sporting CP vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
5.5%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
SCP
3 - 0
BMA
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
SCP
4 - 0
LAG
95%
5%
1%
|
86 | 21 | 65 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
18%
24%
59%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
26%
26%
48%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 3
PEN
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 1
VST
26%
26%
48%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +2 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 1
SER
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 2
SCF
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2008 |
BMA
1 - 1
PEN
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |