Sporting CP vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
SAL
2 - 4
SCP
13%
24%
63%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
SCP
0 - 0
CHA
79%
15%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
OEL
0 - 0
SCP
9%
17%
74%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
SCP
2 - 1
SPB
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1988 |
SCP
0 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
PEN
1 - 2
MAR
47%
29%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1988 |
POR
0 - 0
PEN
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1988 |
PEN
0 - 0
VST
43%
29%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
SPC
0 - 0
PEN
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1988 |
POR
4 - 1
PEN
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |