Sporting CP vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
SCP
4 - 0
VST
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
SLB
3 - 1
SCP
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
SCP
2 - 1
BOA
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
RIO
1 - 1
SCP
20%
27%
53%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
VIT
41%
32%
27%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
VST
1 - 1
PEN
59%
25%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
SLB
10%
22%
68%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
BOA
1 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
PEN
2 - 0
RIO
41%
31%
28%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |