Sporting CP vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
SCP
1 - 0
VIT
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
SLB
1 - 0
SCP
70%
18%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
SCP
3 - 0
EST
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
SAL
1 - 1
SCP
25%
24%
51%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1982 |
UDL
2 - 1
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1982 |
PEN
0 - 1
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
SLB
1 - 0
PEN
91%
6%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
PEN
1 - 0
BOA
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
ESP
3 - 0
PEN
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |