Sporting CP vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
SCP
1 - 1
ESP
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCP
13%
20%
67%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
SCP
1 - 0
BEL
85%
11%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
SCP
4 - 1
VST
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
SPB
0 - 2
SCP
25%
27%
48%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1982 |
BEL
1 - 1
PEN
50%
27%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1982 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCP
13%
20%
67%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
PEN
3 - 0
BEN
79%
13%
8%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
RIO
1 - 0
PEN
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1982 |
BOA
4 - 0
PEN
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |