Sporting CP vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.5%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
4.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
RIO
0 - 1
SCP
22%
26%
52%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
VST
0 - 2
SCP
21%
26%
53%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SCP
0 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SCP
3 - 0
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 1
PAÇ
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 3
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
RIO
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
4 - 1
PAÇ
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PAÇ
2 - 0
VST
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |