Sporting CP vs Os Unidos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.5%
Win probability
4.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.7%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.4%
7-0
3%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.7%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.2%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
5.9%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.9%
3.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
58%
18%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCB
92%
5%
3%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
BOA
1 - 5
SCP
12%
15%
72%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
SCP
1 - 2
SLB
72%
14%
14%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Os Unidos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
UNI
2 - 3
ACA
67%
17%
16%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
FCP
3 - 1
UNI
90%
6%
4%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
UNI
2 - 6
SLB
19%
19%
62%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1941 |
UNI
2 - 3
FCB
66%
17%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1941 |
BEL
13 - 0
UNI
75%
13%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -2 |