Sporting CP vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.7%
Win probability
4.27
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.5%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.4%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
5%
6-0
5.4%
7-1
2.6%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.6%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
4.2%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
13%
4-0
9%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.6%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
5.3%
2.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 3
SCP
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
SCP
2 - 2
BEL
79%
13%
9%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
CAL
1 - 7
SCP
10%
17%
73%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
SCP
8 - 0
FAB
92%
5%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
49%
21%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
SLB
10%
15%
75%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 1
ORI
72%
15%
13%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
TOR
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
FCB
0 - 1
ORI
66%
18%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
2 - 1
VST
52%
21%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |