Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Sporting CP vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
26%
23%
52%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 1
LYO
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
BEL
4 - 2
SCP
27%
25%
49%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
65%
19%
17%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
LYO
0 - 0
SCP
29%
24%
47%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
MON
0 - 1
LYO
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 1
LYO
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
VAL
0 - 1
LYO
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1964 |
LYO
0 - 0
SCP
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1964 |
LYO
1 - 2
TFC
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |