Q. Europa League PlayOffs Final
Global 2-1
Sporting CP vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
BMA
0 - 0
SCP
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 0
SCP
28%
26%
46%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SCP
1 - 1
OLH
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
UDI
2 - 2
SCP
41%
26%
34%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
MAL
3 - 1
SCP
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
MID
2 - 1
FCN
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
FCN
0 - 0
SCP
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
FCN
2 - 0
KBK
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
FCN
2 - 1
SIF
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
FCK
2 - 0
FCN
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |