Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Sporting CP vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
FCN
0 - 1
SCP
29%
27%
45%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SCP
2 - 1
TOT
44%
25%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2010 |
SCP
2 - 0
MAC
49%
25%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
SCP
2 - 0
LYO
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
PSG
4 - 2
SCP
39%
27%
34%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
RAN
0 - 2
FCN
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
FCN
0 - 1
SCP
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 2
SON
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
FCN
4 - 1
SIF
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ESB
3 - 3
FCN
41%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |