Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Sporting CP vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
SCP
31%
24%
46%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SCP
4 - 1
VIT
58%
23%
19%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
SCP
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
SCP
3 - 2
PEN
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
SCP
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
SLB
3 - 1
NAC
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
FCP
20%
23%
58%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ACA
2 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
RIO
1 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
SCP
24%
23%
53%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |