Sporting CP vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
SCP
24%
27%
49%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 1
VST
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
21%
26%
52%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SCP
2 - 1
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAÇ
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 2
NAC
40%
27%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 3
PAÇ
54%
23%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |