Sporting CP vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 3
SCP
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
SCP
1 - 1
MAR
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
BEL
0 - 1
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
SCP
2 - 1
VIZ
89%
8%
3%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
SPB
3 - 2
SCP
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
GFC
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 0
NAC
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
PAÇ
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
FAT
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 2
VST
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |