Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Sporting CP vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
12.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
SLB
2 - 2
SCP
64%
18%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 1
OLH
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
VST
1 - 3
SCP
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1964 |
MUD
4 - 1
SCP
47%
22%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1964 |
SCP
2 - 0
VAR
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1964 |
WHU
0 - 2
MUD
50%
21%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1964 |
MUD
4 - 1
SCP
47%
22%
31%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1964 |
BBU
1 - 3
MUD
53%
21%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1964 |
MUD
5 - 0
BOL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1964 |
LEI
3 - 2
MUD
52%
21%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |