Sporting CP vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
94.7%
Win probability
4.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.9%
+10
0.9%
9-0
1.8%
10-1
0.6%
+9
2.4%
8-0
3.3%
9-1
1.2%
10-2
0.2%
+8
4.7%
7-0
5.4%
8-1
2.1%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
<0%
+7
7.9%
6-0
7.7%
7-1
3.4%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
11.8%
5-0
9.3%
6-1
4.8%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
15.4%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
6.8%
2.9%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.2%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
0
2.9%
1.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.2%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
0.9%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 1949 |
FCB
2 - 1
SCP
53%
19%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1949 |
SCP
3 - 1
TOR
59%
18%
23%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
VIT
1 - 3
SCP
23%
19%
57%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
SCP
1 - 2
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1949 |
SPC
5 - 2
SCP
9%
13%
78%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
LUS
0 - 1
ATL
38%
24%
39%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
OLH
1 - 0
LUS
84%
10%
7%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
VIT
5 - 0
LUS
80%
12%
8%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 0
SPB
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
FCP
3 - 0
LUS
90%
6%
4%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |