Sporting CP vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
7.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 0
SCP
44%
23%
34%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 1
PAR
76%
14%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1961 |
FCP
4 - 1
SCP
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1961 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
60%
19%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1961 |
FAB
7 - 1
LGC
64%
20%
16%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
LGC
1 - 0
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
LGC
4 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
LEX
3 - 1
LGC
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
LGC
2 - 2
SAL
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |