Sporting CP vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
59%
19%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
ACA
2 - 0
SCP
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
TOR
0 - 0
SCP
21%
21%
59%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
SCP
3 - 0
FCB
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
VST
0 - 0
SCP
21%
21%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
LGC
5 - 0
ATL
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
SLB
2 - 2
LGC
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1956 |
BEL
5 - 0
LGC
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1956 |
LGC
3 - 1
ACA
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1956 |
LGC
2 - 0
CAL
76%
15%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |