Sporting CP vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.1%
Win probability
4.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.4%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.1%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.7%
3.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
FCB
2 - 1
SCP
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
80%
11%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
SPB
3 - 5
SCP
15%
19%
67%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 1
SLB
63%
17%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 4
SCP
36%
22%
42%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1953 |
LGC
0 - 0
VST
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1953 |
BOA
1 - 0
LGC
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1953 |
LGC
3 - 0
VIT
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1953 |
SPC
3 - 1
LGC
55%
20%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 0
EST
63%
18%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |