Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 3-2
Sporting CP vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 2
SCP
18%
26%
57%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
50%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
SCP
6 - 0
SPB
68%
19%
13%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
ACA
2 - 0
SCP
56%
23%
22%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1967 |
SCP
3 - 1
SAN
82%
11%
7%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
FIO
1 - 1
INT
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
JUV
2 - 2
FIO
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
43%
27%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1967 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
FIO
0 - 1
BRE
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | -1 |