Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
3º
1º
12
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 75 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 69 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 69 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 68 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 61 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 52 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 50 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 44 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 43 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 40 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 39 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 35 |
15º
|
5.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 28 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 27 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
59% | 15.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
20.5% | 25.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
11% | 23.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6.5% | 19.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 16% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FAR
0 - 5
SCP
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 6
SCP
20%
22%
59%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 1
RIO
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 4
FCP
46%
23%
31%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 0
ATH
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
RIO
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FCP
3 - 0
GFC
74%
17%
9%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
3 - 4
FCP
46%
23%
31%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
4 - 0
ALN
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |