Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FAB
0 - 0
SCP
32%
25%
44%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
SCP
5 - 2
ACA
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAB
78%
14%
8%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
BEL
1 - 1
SCP
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
SCP
4 - 0
VST
72%
17%
12%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
1 - 0
COV
81%
13%
6%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
2 - 0
LGC
79%
15%
6%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1966 |
VAR
1 - 0
FCP
22%
22%
55%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
COV
1 - 2
FCP
25%
24%
51%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1966 |
FCP
3 - 0
VIT
64%
20%
17%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |