Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
7.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
SCP
4 - 2
SLB
67%
16%
18%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
67%
16%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
FCB
1 - 1
SCP
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
SCP
5 - 0
VIT
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
FCP
2 - 1
FCB
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 1
FCB
84%
10%
6%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
SLB
2 - 2
FCP
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
FCP
5 - 0
FCB
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | +1 |