Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
7.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
22%
21%
57%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
SLB
0 - 2
SCP
60%
18%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCB
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 5
SCP
18%
20%
61%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
SCP
2 - 1
ORI
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 0
SPC
78%
13%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
39%
25%
37%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1954 |
FCP
5 - 3
SLB
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1954 |
FCB
2 - 0
FCP
35%
26%
40%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
FCP
10 - 0
VIT
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |