Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 9-6
Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.7%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.1%
7.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
SCP
4 - 2
FCP
82%
11%
8%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
45%
20%
35%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
BEL
1 - 2
SCP
38%
21%
41%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
SCP
5 - 2
MAR
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1952 |
SCP
4 - 2
FCP
82%
11%
8%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1952 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
45%
20%
35%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
SAL
1 - 3
FCP
37%
22%
41%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1952 |
FCP
2 - 0
SAL
86%
8%
5%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1952 |
FCP
10 - 1
SPB
83%
11%
7%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |