Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.8%
9.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
16%
17%
66%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
88%
7%
5%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 4
SCP
56%
18%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
SCP
4 - 4
BEL
72%
15%
13%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
SPB
1 - 3
SCP
17%
17%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
FCP
1 - 1
ATL
79%
12%
9%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
LUS
0 - 1
FCP
15%
17%
69%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
3 - 1
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1948 |
FCP
5 - 2
VST
85%
9%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
38%
21%
41%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |