Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 4-1
Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
3.62
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
10.7%
8.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
22%
20%
58%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
EST
1 - 2
SCP
17%
18%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
VIT
3 - 3
SCP
8%
12%
80%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
SCP
8 - 2
SAL
96%
3%
1%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1945 |
FCP
3 - 0
VST
76%
13%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1945 |
OLH
2 - 2
FCP
39%
19%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1945 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
39%
20%
42%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
SLB
7 - 2
FCP
79%
11%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
FCP
2 - 2
EST
77%
12%
11%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |