Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 3-5
Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
16.3%
11%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
11%
8.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
VIT
0 - 2
SCP
7%
12%
81%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
71%
15%
15%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 3
SCP
38%
20%
42%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ATL
2 - 2
SCP
18%
18%
64%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
ATL
3 - 4
FCP
42%
20%
39%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 0
BEL
56%
20%
24%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
1 - 3
SCP
38%
20%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 1
OLH
80%
11%
9%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |