Sporting CP vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14.8%
14.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1941 |
SCP
4 - 1
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1941 |
LIS
1 - 3
SCP
16%
17%
67%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
SCP
8 - 1
LIS
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1941 |
VIT
2 - 4
SCP
34%
21%
46%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
SCP
12 - 0
VIT
81%
11%
8%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 0
FCP
56%
19%
26%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1941 |
FCP
4 - 3
SLB
69%
15%
16%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
OLH
2 - 5
FCP
29%
21%
50%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
FCP
3 - 1
OLH
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
UNI
0 - 0
FCP
14%
16%
70%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |