Sporting CP vs FC Barreirense analysis


81	ELO	68
14%	Tilt	7.7%
74º	General ELO ranking	6359º
3º	Country ELO ranking	114º
ELO win probability

78.6%

Sporting CP

12.1%

Draw

9.3%

FC Barreirense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

78.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.27
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%

12.1%

Draw

0-0

1.2%

1-1

4.5%

2-2

4.2%

3-3

1.7%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

0.1%

0

12.1%

9.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+18%

-8%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches