Sporting CP vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
32%
27%
41%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
SCP
3 - 3
ACA
86%
10%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
UFT
0 - 1
SCP
13%
24%
63%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
VST
2 - 2
SCP
36%
27%
37%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
FAR
2 - 0
FAB
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1976 |
SPB
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1976 |
SLB
3 - 0
FAR
90%
8%
3%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
FAR
1 - 3
BEL
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
ACA
4 - 0
FAR
65%
21%
13%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |