Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 9-4
Sporting CP vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
LGC
2 - 2
SCP
27%
24%
50%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1960 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPB
79%
13%
9%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
VST
1 - 7
SCP
27%
24%
49%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1960 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
71%
16%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1960 |
LEX
1 - 2
SCP
12%
19%
69%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1955 |
SCP
4 - 1
FAR
88%
8%
4%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
FAR
3 - 1
NAC
49%
20%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1955 |
FAR
2 - 0
TIR
63%
17%
20%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
SCP
9 - 0
FAR
88%
8%
5%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
FAR
0 - 6
SCP
28%
21%
51%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |